Liverpool vs Aston Villa Predictions and Betting Tips

15:00, 11 dec 2021
Liverpool vs Aston Villa predictions for Saturday’s Premier League fixture at Anfield. It will be an emotional return to Anfield for Steven Gerrard as he takes his Villa side to Liverpool. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa key stats

  • Liverpool matches average 3.73 goals per game with 80% of their matches resulting in over 2.5 goals (both league highs).
  • Aston Villa matches average exactly three goals per game with over 2.5 goals coming in 67% of their matches.
  • Liverpool matches have resulted in over 3.5 goals 60% of the time. The league average is only 30.9%
  • Aston Villa have scored just five first half goals compared to 16 in the second half. Liverpool have scored 21 first half goals and 23 second half goals.

Late heroics from Origi

After scoring four goals in each of their three games prior to last Saturday’s visit to Wolves, Liverpool was kept to just one very late stoppage time goal scored by Divock Origi.

Wolves were expected to keep things very tight and present more of a challenge to Liverpool’s attack than their previous opponents but ultimately the Reds prevailed.

That was Liverpool’s fourth straight league win and the midweek away 2-1 win over AC Milan – where Origi again scored the winner – made it Liverpool’s sixth straight in all competitions.

Gerrard returns to Anfield

It will be an emotional return to Liverpool for Villa boss Steven Gerrard who spent all but the last two years of his playing career at Anfield.

Gerrard makes his managerial debut at Anfield in just his fifth Premier League match with Villa. So far, he has won three of his first four matches and lifted Villa from relegation trouble into 10th spot, nine points away from the relegation zone.

After suffering his first defeat to Manchester City at home, Gerrard and Villa did well to bounce back in last Sunday’s 2-1 come from behind win against Leicester City. There will be no room for sentiment from either side.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa predictions

Liverpool are relentless at the moment and despite Villa’s turn in fortunes since Gerrard was appointed as manager we can’t see anything other than a Liverpool win.

However, the short 2/9 price is prohibitive, and we prefer to back – due to Liverpool’s league best first half performances and Aston Villa being second from last in first half performance – Liverpool half-time, Liverpool full-time.

Due to the number of goals Liverpool score, over 2.5 goals is also a short price at 2/5. However, over 3.5 goals occurs in Liverpool matches at almost double the rate of the league average. This is priced at Evens, and we predict this will happen.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa team news

Liverpool team news

Joe Gomez and Naby Keita both returned to action from the bench in the midweek win over AC Milan.

The only casualties remaining are Roberto Firmino, Harvey Elliott and Curtis Jones.

Aston Villa team news

Danny Ings’ thigh injury continues to be monitored incase he can make the trip to face his former team. Also questionable is Matt Targett.

Leon Bailey and Bertrand Traore will be out for this one.

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English Premier League
15:00/11 dec
Liverpool vs Aston Villa
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Single: Lost
English Premier League
15:00/11 dec
Liverpool vs Aston Villa
Will this bet win?
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